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While Gov. Chris Christie is focused on meeting with wealthy supporters, New Jersey’s economy is struggling, according to Senate President Stephen Sweeney.
Just as election season was getting under way, Sweeney offered two examples in a Sept. 15 message on Facebook of the state’s deteriorating economic conditions during Christie’s tenure: the poverty rate and the number of residents without health insurance has increased.
"New Jersey's poverty rate has increased since this governor took office and the number of New Jerseyans without health insurance has risen," Sweeney, a Democrat representing a southwestern part of the state, said in the message. "It's time this governor does something about the economy, other than veto things because they weren't his idea."
Sweeney’s numbers are accurate, but PolitiFact New Jersey determined the senator’s wrong to solely blame Christie for those economic woes.
First, let’s talk about the poverty rate and the number of residents without health insurance.
Chris Donnelly, a spokesman for Sweeney, directed us to a news article regarding data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey.
According to that data, the number of Garden State residents living in poverty increased from 9.3 percent to 10.7 percent between 2009 and 2010. The Current Population Survey also shows that the number of uninsured individuals grew to about 1.3 million in 2010 from roughly 1.2 million in 2009.
The bureau’s 2010 American Community Survey shows a similar pattern. According to the ACS, the number of New Jerseyans below the poverty level increased from 9.4 percent in 2009 to 10.3 percent in 2010.
So, the latest federal statistics prove Sweeney’s point that the poverty rate and the number of residents without health insurance have increased since Christie took office in January 2010.
But after reaching out to three poverty experts, we learned that while state policy can impact the level of poverty -- such as a decrease in the State Earned Income Tax Credit -- the main driving forces include the recession and the level of unemployment.
"Most of the factors that determine a state's poverty rate are beyond the control of a governor in the short run," Sheldon Danziger, director of the National Poverty Center at the University of Michigan, said in an email.
Pennsylvania State University professor John Iceland, who wrote the book "Poverty in America," said understanding the current level of poverty must come with the realization that recovery is fairly slow after such a sharp and deep recession across the country.
Austin Nichols, a senior research associate at the Urban Institute, also noted how child poverty rates have increased in the last decade mainly due to the faltering labor market.
Due in part to unemployment across the country, Nichols added: "This whole country is in bad shape. I think some increase in poverty in unavoidable."
But two changes during Christie’s tenure could lead to rising poverty -- the reduction in the number of public-sector employees and the cut to the State Earned Income Tax Credit, Nichols said. The State Earned Income Tax Credit, which is awarded to low- and moderate-income residents, was reduced from 25 to 20 percent of the federal benefit in 2010.
It's worth noting that New Jersey has seen an increase of approximately 50,000 private-sector jobs since Christie entered office.
Donnelly refuted that Sweeney’s Facebook message blames the governor for these economic conditions.
"The point was to convey that while things have gotten worse, the governor spent his time at fundraisers with the Koch brothers (GOP fundraisers Charles and David Koch) and not dealing with economic issues," Donnelly said in an email. "Your interpretation, frankly, deserves a ‘Pants On Fire’ rating."
However, we told Donnelly that the tone of the message and marking the time frame as "since this governor took office" indicate that Sweeney is blaming Christie.
In a Facebook message, Sweeney said that since Christie took office, New Jersey has seen increases in its poverty rate and the number of people without health insurance.
Those statistics are backed up by census data, but a state’s poverty rate is largely dependent on labor market conditions. We rate the statement Half True.
To comment on this ruling, go to NJ.com.
Facebook message posted on Sen. Stephen Sweeney’s wall, Sept. 15, 2011
U.S. Census Bureau, Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage inthe United States: 2010, September 2011
U.S. Census Bureau: Current Population Survey, Number of Poor and Poverty Rate, by State, accessed Oct. 17, 2011
U.S. Census Bureau, Health Insurance Coverage Status and Type of Coverage by State All People, 1999 to 2010, accessed Oct. 17, 2011
U.S. Census Bureau: 2009 American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates, Poverty Status in the Past 12 Months, accessed Oct. 17, 2011
U.S. Census Bureau: 2010 American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates, Poverty Status in the Past 12 Months, accessed Oct. 17, 2011
Interview with Allan Lichtenstein, Legal Services of New Jersey’s Poverty Research Institute, Oct. 17, 2011
Heartland Alliance Mid-America Institute on Poverty, Causes of Poverty: Findings from Recent Research, October 2008
Email interview with Chris Donnelly, spokesman for Sen. Stephen Sweeney, Oct. 17-18, 2011
Associated Press, U.S. poverty rate increases to 1 in 6 people, Sept. 13, 2011
Interview with John Iceland, Penn State University, Oct. 17, 2011
Email interview with Sheldon Danziger, University of Michigan Population Studies Center, Oct. 17 and 19, 2011
Interview with Austin Nichols, Urban Institute, Oct. 19, 2011
New Jersey Department of the Treasury, Summary of 2010 Tax Legislation, accessed Oct. 19, 2011
PolitiFact New Jersey, Gov. Chris Christie says the New Jersey budget doubled property tax credits and had no new tax increases for the second consecutive year, July 24, 2011
PolitiFact New Jersey, Chris Christie talks up job growth in New Jersey, Oct. 4, 2011
Email interview with Nicole Brossoie, New Jersey Department of Human Services, Oct. 19, 2011
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