"Since ObamaCare and the stimulus passed, the unemployment rate in the U.S. has increased."
Pete Hoekstra on Sunday, February 5th, 2012 in a website linked to a campaign ad
In "Debbie-Spend-It-Now" ad, Pete Hoekstra errs on unemployment rate statistic
On Feb. 5, 2012, former Rep. Pete Hoekstra -- a Republican seeking to unseat Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich. -- released an ad titled "Debbie-Spend-It-Now." The ad quickly attracted public attention for its use of a young Asian woman thanking Americans, in broken English, for helping to boost the Chinese economy.
The ad directed viewers to a website that provided additional statistical details. One of the claims on the site is that "since ObamaCare and the stimulus passed, the unemployment rate in the U.S. has increased."
We decided to see whether that claim was correct.
The stimulus was the first of the two bills to be signed into law -- on Feb. 17, 2009. That month, the national unemployment rate stood at 8.3 percent.
Meanwhile, the health care law was signed on March 23, 2010. During that month, the national unemployment rate was 9.8 percent.
And in the most recent month for which figures are available -- January 2012 -- the unemployment rate stood at 8.3 percent.
So, since enactment of the stimulus three years ago, the unemployment rate has -- after a rise and then a decline -- remained at exactly the same rate. And since the health care legislation was passed, it has fallen by 1.5 percentage points.
We should note some fine print. The source for the claim on the website is "Bureau of Labor Statistics, Accessed 1/23/2012" -- a time before the latest decline in the unemployment rate. The rate on that date was 8.5 percent, but it dropped to 8.3 percent by the time the ad aired on Super Bowl weekend. Using the December figure makes the comparison for the stimulus correct, though the comparison for the health care law still would have been incorrect. Either way, though, it’s not the current figure.
Neither time span offered in Hoekstra’s website checks out, based on the unemployment rate on the day the ad first aired. One shows that the unemployment rate is the same now as it was when the stimulus passed (although it went up in the interim). The other shows that the rate has fallen since the health care law passed. We rate the statement False.
EDITOR’S NOTE: After we published this story, a reader asked us to evaluate Hoekstra’s claim from the perspective of Michigan, where he’s running for Senate. So we did. In February 2009, when the stimulus was signed, unemployment in Michigan was 12.0 percent. In March 2010, when the health care bill was signed, the rate was 13.3 percent. In December 2011 -- the most recent month available -- the rate was 9.3 percent. So the declines in unemployment over both time spans were actually steeper in Michigan than they were nationally. We are keeping our rating at False.
Published: Monday, February 6th, 2012 at 2:53 p.m.
Pete Hoekstra, "Debbie-Spend-It-Now" (ad and related website), Feb. 5, 2012
Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Labor Force Statistics including the National Unemployment Rate (Current Population Survey - CPS)," accessed Feb. 6, 2012
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, signed Feb. 17, 2009
Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, signed March 23, 2010
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