Since Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker took office, "we are losing jobs at rates not seen in decades."
Kathleen Falk on Tuesday, December 6th, 2011 in an opinion column
Potential recall candidate Kathleen Falk says job losses under Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker worst in "decades"
Perhaps they feel baited by his campaign promise (tracked by our Walk-O-Meter) to create 250,000 private-sector jobs during his four-year term.
But Democrat Kathleen Falk-- a potential challenger to Walker should he face a recall election in 2012 -- went further in her criticism.
In a Dec. 6, 2011 opinion article for the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, the former Dane County executive and 2002 gubernatorial candidate accused Walker of not telling the truth about what he would do as governor.
She also included a series of other jabs, including one on job losses.
"He said he is focused on creating jobs, but since Walker took office, we are losing jobs at rates not seen in decades," Falk wrote, "and his own administration recently admitted that he won't fulfill his promise to create 250,000 new jobs."
The state Department of Revenue did project in October 2011 that Walker will fall short of the 250,000 mark, though the governor himself has not abandoned the goal. But that report also noted that jobs are up in 2011.
So is it possible, as Falk claims, that Wisconsin is losing jobs at rates not seen since at least the 1990s?
When we asked Falk spokeswoman Melissa Mulliken for evidence, she cited two Journal Sentinel news articles.
She highlighted the first sentence of an article about job losses in September 2011:
"Wisconsin shed private-sector jobs for the third consecutive month in September, while employment at government agencies and public schools registered its deepest drop in decades."
The article went on to say that the loss of an estimated 11,500 jobs among city, county, state and public school employees was the "deepest single-month decline since at least 1990."
(The figure has since been revised to 10,200, according to the state Department of Workforce Development, which produces the state’s monthly employment reports. That is still the largest monthly loss of public-sector jobs since at least 1990.)
But Falk claimed "we are losing jobs at rates not seen in decades," without any qualification or explanation. We think to the average reader that means jobs overall -- not merely public-sector jobs-- especially since it was in the context of Walker’s 250,000-jobs pledge.
Mulliken also cited an article about October 2011 job losses, which are the most recent figures available.
The article said October marked the state’s fourth consecutive month of job declines -- but it said nothing about the losses being the worst in decades.
Let’s review Walker’s record on jobs during his first 10 months in office.
As we’ve reported on the Walk-O-Meter, the state has added a net 20,100 private-sector jobs in 2011 through October. (The November numbers are due out Dec. 15). But as noted, public-sector jobs have dropped under Walker, so let’s get the full picture.
Overall figures show the state gained jobs during each of the first six months of 2011 and lost jobs during each of the next four months.
The net result? A total of 11,200 jobs have been added under Walker.
That would seem to shoot down Falk’s claim. But let’s look even more closely.
If you highlight the four months in 2011 where there were losses -- July through October -- the state lost 27,600 jobs, including more than 10,000 in September alone. Are either of those figures the highest in decades?
Under Democratic Gov. Jim Doyle in 2009 -- when the state suffered a net loss of 121,000 jobs -- 84,700 jobs were lost during the first four months of the year, including 24,700 in April alone.
Falk said that despite Walker’s claim to being focused on job creation, since he took office in January 2011, "we are losing jobs at rates not seen in decades" -- suggesting that job losses overall are the highest in decades. But the evidence she provided cites only public-sector jobs.
Overall, the state has seen a net gain in jobs since Walker took office.
And in the months when jobs have declined under Walker, we have to go back only two years to find job losses at a greater rate.
We rate Falk’s statement False.
Published: Wednesday, December 14th, 2011 at 9:00 a.m.
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, "State lost 9,300 private-sector jobs in October," Nov. 17, 2011
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, "State private-sector employment slides for third straight month," Oct. 20, 2011
PolitiFact Wisconsin, "Month of losses sets the state back to March levels," Nov. 17, 2011
Interview and email interview, Kathleen Falk spokeswoman Melissa Mulliken, Dec. 9, 12 and 13, 2011
Email interview, Gov. Scott Walker spokesman Chris Schrimpf, Dec. 9, 2011
Interview and email interview, Republican Party of Wisconsin spokesman Ben Sparks, Dec. 9, 2011
Email interview, Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development John Dipko, Dec. 12 and 13, 2011
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, "State coincident indexes"
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, "State coincident indexes October 2011"
Wisconsin Department of Revenue, fall 2011 economic outlook
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