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Millionaires, pack your bags.
Assembly Majority Leader Lou Greenwald claims the wealthy can take a trip to paradise with the money they’ll keep under the 10 percent income tax rate cut proposed by Gov. Chris Christie.
Middle-class families, meanwhile, won’t save enough to stock their cabinets for a week.
"Let's be clear about this - Gov. Christie's income tax plan may sound nice, but it would save a family earning $50,000 per year just $80.50 and a family earning $100,000 per year just $275, all [the] while ... millionaires get a $7,265.75 tax break," Greenwald (D-Camden) said in a Jan. 17 press release. "Under this tax cut, middle-class families don't save enough for a week's worth of groceries, while millionaires save enough to go on an exotic vacation."
The state’s nonpartisan Office of Legislative Services analyzed the impact of the governor’s proposed income tax cut for the Assembly Democrats. The cut would be phased in over three years.
Savings are estimated by reducing the amount of income tax joint filers pay by 10 percent. According to the analysis, a couple with a taxable income of $50,000 pays $805 in income tax now. Under Christie’s proposal the same couple would pay $724.50, or $80.50 less.
A couple with a taxable income of $1 million pays $72,657.50 now. A 10 percent reduction in that bill equals $65,391.75, or $7,265.75 less, according to the analysis.
James R. Hines Jr., co-director of the law and economics program at the University of Michigan Law School, said it’s fair to estimate the impact of an income tax rate cut by calculating the reduction in the tax bill. "There’s nuances but by and large, it’s roughly right," he said.
Under the proposed cut higher income filers benefit more than lower income filers. Hines said that’s expected. Suppose you say "the lion’s share of the benefits go to the rich," he said. "It tells you the lion’s share of the taxes must be paid by the rich."
Christie also responded to that charge in a recent WNYC interview: "Those folks who are paying more in a progressive system, when you cut those taxes are going to get more. That's the definition of a progressive system."
So Greenwald’s numbers are reasonable, but what about his comparisons: Are savings under the proposed income tax cut too little to cover a week’s worth of groceries for a middle-class family? And can a more than $7,000 tax break pay for an exotic vacation?
Federal data and a review of travel websites back the assemblyman up.
Greenwald based the grocery figure "on paying bills and providing for a family in the real world, such as going to the supermarket for a week’s worth of groceries to feed 3 growing kids, with healthy meals for breakfast lunch and dinner," according to a spokesman.
A family of four with school-age children on average spends between $233 and $283 a week on food with a moderate-cost to liberal meal plan, according to November 2011 data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture
A two-week vacation for two, including airfare, accommodations, taxes and fees, from Newark to Fiji costs more than $7,500 in a package listed on the travel website Kayak.com. Expedia.com prices a similar vacation in Bali at about $5,800.
After the governor announced his proposal to cut income tax rates by 10 percent, Greenwald said in a press release that the cut wouldn’t be enough to pay for one week of groceries for a middle-class family, but millionaires would save enough to take an exotic vacation.
Greenwald is right: those who make more in New Jersey will save more from an across-the-board income tax cut. And federal data and vacation package deals listed on travel websites back up the assemblyman’s comparisons.
We rate the statement True.
To comment on this ruling, go to NJ.com.
New Jersey Assembly Democrats, Greenwald: Governor’s Plan Again Benefits Wealthy Over Middle-Class, Jan. 17, 2012
The Star-Ledger, Reactions to Christie's State of the State address, Jan. 18, 2012
Email interview with Tom Hester Jr., communications director for the Assembly Democrats, Jan. 17, 2012
The Star-Ledger, Questions surround Gov. Christie's income tax reduction proposal, Jan. 17, 2012
Office of Gov. Chris Christie, "Tax Relief For All New Jerseyans," Jan. 17, 2012
Office of Gov. Chris Christie, "The New Jersey Comeback Has Begun," Jan. 17, 2012
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Cost of Food at Home: U.S. Average at Four Cost Levels, accessed Jan. 18, 2012
New Jersey Treasury Department, Tax Rates, accessed Jan. 18, 2012
New Jersey Treasury Department, Tax Table: 2011 Returns, accessed Jan. 18, 2012
New Jersey Treasury Department, Tax Rate Schedules: 2011 Returns, Jan. 18, 2012
Interview with James R. Hines Jr., the L. Hart Wright Collegiate Professor of Law and codirector of the Law and Economics Program at the University of Michigan Law School,Jan. 18, 2012
Kayak.com, Vacations: Newark to Fiji, accessed Jan. 18, 2012
Expedia.com, Vacation Packages: Newark to Bali, accessed Jan. 18, 2012
The Star-Ledger, In speech, Gov. Christie challenges N.J. Democrats on taxes, education reform, Jan. 18, 2012
Email interview with Kim Rueben, director ofUrban Institute-Brookings Institution Tax Policy Center’s state and local program, Jan. 19, 2012
Email interview with David Rosen, legislative budget and finance officer for the New Jersey Office of Legislative Services, Jan. 19, 2012
WNYC, Christie Defends Income Tax Cut Proposal, Jan. 18, 2012
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